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Estimated Odds
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Introducing Estimated Odds

In the Risk Analyzer, you’ll also see Estimated Odds — but these are not model-based.
They simply show what the combined parlay odds might look like based on the sportsbook you selected (DraftKings or FanDuel).

Estimated Odds are:

  • Built from the actual sportsbook odds of your selections

  • Shown to help you understand potential payout

  • Only a reference point

  • Not calculated from BTA’s Risk %

  • Not the final odds you will necessarily receive

 

They may differ slightly due to:

  • Vig

  • Line boosts

  • Market adjustments

  • Final lines available at the time you place the bet


Estimated Odds show:

What your payout might look like based on sportsbook odds.

BTA Win Probability (Risk %) shows:

How likely your slip is to hit, based on AI modeling.

 

Together, these two numbers give you both sides of the decision:

Risk vs. Reward

  • Estimated Odds = Reward side

  • Risk % = Likelihood side

 

This is the clarity sportsbooks don’t provide on their own.


Why It Matters

By giving you both Risk % and Estimated Odds, BTA helps you:

  • Spot value differences between your sportsbook’s pricing and actual probability

  • Avoid overpriced or low-value bets

  • Build smarter tickets based on measurable data

  • Compare your sportsbook’s odds to BTA’s model-driven likelihood

 

You get a more complete picture than odds alone can offer.

 

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